The model thinker : what you need to know to make data work for you / ‡c Scott E. Page.
2018
Book
From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren't enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models--from linear regression to random walks and far beyond--that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page's "many-model paradigm," which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.
Item Details
ISBN:
- 9780465094622
- 0465094627
Edition: First edition.
Description: xiii, 427 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
Notes: Includes bibliographical references (pages 357-409) and index.
Contents:
- The many-model thinker
- Why model?
- The science of many models
- Modeling human actors
- Normal distributions : the bell curve
- Power-law distributions : long tails
- Linear models
- Concavity and convexity
- Models of value and power
- Network models
- Broadcast, diffusion, and contagion
- Entropy : modeling uncertainty
- Random walks
- Path dependence
- Local interaction models
- Lyapunov functions and equilibria
- Markov models
- Systems dynamics models
- Threshold models with feedbacks
- Spatial and hedonic choice
- Game theory models times three
- Models of cooperation
- Collective action problems
- Mechanism design
- Signaling models
- Models of learning
- Multi-armed bandit problems
- Rugged-landscape models
- Opioids, inequality, and humility.
LCCN: 2018942802
Control Number: 2596782
Publisher: New York : Basic Books, 2018.Subjects: